Sam Freedman @Samfr
Writes the UK's most popular politics Substack (https://t.co/bcjXR0ncfL). New book - "Failed State" - now out https://t.co/uPuWlb39R3. samf.substack.com Joined January 2009-
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To give an indication of the problem here's a chart of 12 government agencies around the world and numbers of applications / appeals / complaints etc... The dotted grey line is when ChatGPT was invented.
On the substack this week... I looked at how states are being increasingly overwhelmed with AI written slop. It's gumming up every process. Britain is particularly vulnerable. How bad has it got and what can we do about it? samf.substack.com/p/drowning-in-…
@LawDavF After Tory conference I wrote about their new strategy to target their more traditional voters, and the problems with it. samf.substack.com/p/the-three-bi…
@LawDavF And @LawDavF wrote about how Trump has created chaos in the Middle East. The Saudis have been left extremely vulnerable to the Houthis and are in real trouble. samf.substack.com/p/trumps-gulf-…
On the substack this week... I looked at how states are being increasingly overwhelmed with AI written slop. It's gumming up every process. Britain is particularly vulnerable. How bad has it got and what can we do about it? samf.substack.com/p/drowning-in-…
This gives an indication of how worried the Saudis are. One journalist wrote to me today saying the Houthis are claiming they can go up the coast and capture Mecca. bsky.app/profile/aljaze…
The Saudis really have no way to defeat the Houthis, and there other options aren't great. Many are underestimating the importance of this conflict for the region and the world, given how much Saudi wealth funds...
New post from @LawDavF The chaos Trump has unleashed in the Gulf is spreading. The Saudis are under attack from the Houthis and the US is refusing to help them. How will it all play out? samf.substack.com/p/trumps-gulf-…
There's been a lot of talk in the last few weeks in edu circles about whether the trad education movement has failed, what it needs to do next, etc. This article is just the latest in a succession of examples that shows how us edu-trads have not been nearly as successful as we hoped in altering elite consensus on education. We have obviously seen with all the Labour party policies that we completely failed to convince Labour. But actually, it's not like we've really convinced the Conservatives either. This is Dan Hannan, major figure in Brexit, major figure in Conservative politics, presumably has some idea of who Michael Gove is - and here he is in the Telegraph confidently asserting that we no longer need to know things because we can look things up. (The ironies in this piece abound, by the way. He argues for lessons in spotting bad bogus arguments at the same time as building an article around the argument that memory doesn't matter any more. He argues that "identifying improbable claims" is a generic skill that can be taught in the abstract, at the same time as claiming that handwriting and geography are obsolete. He says that you can always just look up what you need, whilst signally failing to look up any of the evidence on the role of long-term memory...I could go on.) I wrote a few weeks ago that there was some evidence journalists at the Financial Times were waking up to all the evidence on cognitive science, its implications for schools, the international test evidence. But the elite understanding of this is a very thin layer, absolutely skin deep. The mass of second-hand dealers in ideas are still distilling their frenzy from Romantic pedagogy. Depressing. I honestly don't know what else we can do. We wrote the books. We had the debates. We built the schools. We aced the tests. And then it turned out nobody cared. Right now it is definitely a bleak time to be a trad. It feels like we are on Athelney Marshes, beset by vandals without and dissension within. BUT we have to keep the faith. Reality is an undefeated champion. Despair is a sin! What we do works! It may well be that for now, the New World with all its power & might etc., is going to have to step in to save our bacon for a bit. Maybe the momentum is shifting to @ehanford and Sold a Story, @rastokke and Chalk & Talk, @jettybe3 , etc. We have got to dig in. As Declan Rice said, it's not done!
The school curriculum has been painfully slow to adapt to the implications of AI. But @LucyMPowell is spot on about one thing: we need to teach kids to express themselves better. Paywall down. telegraph.co.uk/gift/5ac93c4a7…
Increasingly feels like the world is in a state akin to a modern Seven Years War. Separate but related conflicts across the globe but no single primary adversary on either side to cement coherent strategies and stable alliances
New post from @LawDavF The chaos Trump has unleashed in the Gulf is spreading. The Saudis are under attack from the Houthis and the US is refusing to help them. How will it all play out? samf.substack.com/p/trumps-gulf-…
Latest post looks at the consequences of Trump’s disastrous war with Iran. Not only is Iran keeping oil prices high, but Saudi Arabia now faces a strategic predicament as it struggles to cope with the resurgent Houthis without much help from the US. (£/free trial), samf.substack.com/p/trumps-gulf-…?
New post from @LawDavF The chaos Trump has unleashed in the Gulf is spreading. The Saudis are under attack from the Houthis and the US is refusing to help them. How will it all play out? samf.substack.com/p/trumps-gulf-…
@FurtherOr Yeah I don't. Think it's a classic case of fighting the last war and not realising what has changed. (Both policy-wise and politically).
On the substack this week: I looked at the route back into the EU. It's going to become obvious that the politics works for a manifesto pledge. What are the barriers? What would a negotiation look like? How might another referendum play out? samf.substack.com/p/the-route-ba…
New post: "Drowning in slop" Large parts of the state are being increasingly overwhelmed with complaints, appeals, objections.... written by AI. It's gumming up every process. How bad has it got and what can we do about it? samf.substack.com/p/drowning-in-…
This is good (and depressing) from @Samfr on how AI is turbocharging citizen complaints samf.substack.com/p/drowning-in-…
This is very very true. Having to deal with it myself. Every response is clearly being met with “respond to this letter - be aggressive” etc etc 2 mins later hits send.
New post: "Drowning in slop" Large parts of the state are being increasingly overwhelmed with complaints, appeals, objections.... written by AI. It's gumming up every process. How bad has it got and what can we do about it? samf.substack.com/p/drowning-in-…
This isn't just about administrative hassle but a fundamental shift in the relationship between state and citizen. Both in terms of relative power but also mutual trust. A lot of systems will need to be redesigned.
Why we're moving into uncharted territory in the Baltics, as Russia gets increasingly desperate and vulnerable.
New post from @LawDavF Tensions between Russia and Europe are rising. Putin is getting desperate. Could Kaliningrad be the flashpoint that sets off a wider conflict? samf.substack.com/p/watch-the-ga…
It's this kind of behaviour from Russia that means we could soon find ourselves in a unpredictable escalation. ft.com/content/5da2dd…
New post from @LawDavF Tensions between Russia and Europe are rising. Putin is getting desperate. Could Kaliningrad be the flashpoint that sets off a wider conflict? samf.substack.com/p/watch-the-ga…
My latest post looks at how the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad, stuck between Poland and Lithuania, has become a flashpoint in relations between Russian and Europe, and a reminder of Russia’s vulnerabilities at a time when it seeks to project strength. (£/free trial) samf.substack.com/p/watch-the-gap?
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